Coronavirus Pandemic — COVID-19 Mysteries

Political News

[ad_1]

I’ve been emailing with Ari Schulman, the editor of the New Atlantis, and he made a comment that I thought was worth (with his permission) quoting:

We just do not know enough about Covid to make reliable general conclusions from a single country. And for any general conclusion we could reach, we can come up with many counterexamples. The Times had a great writeup of this yesterday. If you want to say that Covid spares warm-weather regions, that does hold up as a broad trend — but there are plenty of counterexamples. If you want to say that countries that don’t do official lockdowns turn out fine, there are indeed plenty of examples besides Sweden. But then there are also Italy, Spain, Iran, New York. If you want to say that these variations must be explained by different strains, so that anywhere that hasn’t already been badly hit won’t be — well, that makes a certain amount of sense (it seems hard to imagine Montana taking off at this point). But it also gets into epicyclic territory until it’s backed by actual genetic analysis, and there are counterexamples too (Russia, Turkey, the resurgence in Singapore).

It’s a choose-your-own-adventure game. The number of unknowns about Covid, and the number of parameters across which it varies markedly, are astonishing. The main difference I see between analyses right now is whether they view this situation as basically clearcut — here, look at the back of my envelope, I’ll explain it to you — or as deeply murky, a terrible conundrum.

Ramesh Ponnuru is a senior editor for National Review, a columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, a visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and a senior fellow at the National Review Institute.




[ad_2]

Read the Original Article Here

You Might Like

Articles You May Like

UPDATE: YouTube and Rumble(?) Remove GP Video Investigation of Antia-BLM Organizer John Sullivan
Twitter won’t let Joe Biden inherit Trump’s millions of followers and his team is very upset about it
The Legacy of a Would-Be Dictator
Relying on Lockdowns, Social Distancing, and Masks Isn’t Working to Curb COVID-19
9 Takeaways as 10 Republicans Join Democrats to Impeach Trump Again

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *